For the first time since 2020, Fine Gael has surpassed Sinn Féin in the polls, reports Breaking News.
In the most recent Sunday Independent/Ireland Thinks survey, Mary Lou McDonald’s party garnered 19% of the vote, dropping to third place behind Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil.
Due to Sinn Féin’s persistent downward trend this year, the existing Government may be able to run for reelection, reports Breaking News.
Based on an average of previous surveys, you can find the most recent estimate of popular support for the major political parties below.
After Simon Harris was named leader, Fine Gael’s support increased somewhat but significantly.
Following a decline in the polls under Leo Varadkar’s direction, Mr. Harris became leadership of Fine Gael in April, with support currently averaging around 21%, reports Breaking News.
On March 22, 2020, a general election will need to be conducted in the event that the Coalition of Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil, and the Green Party serves out its whole mandate.
Prior to the municipal and European elections this year, support for independent candidates increased dramatically; however, it has subsequently declined.
The anticipated support for Independent candidates and other parties rose by around nine percentage points to 21 percent from the end of October 2023 and June 2024, reports Breaking News.
Over the summer, support for Independents has somewhat decreased, with an average of 19% currently.
Major Irish pollsters’ voting intention surveys are combined by the breakingnews.ie poll tracker to provide a single estimate of each party’s support. Stefan Müller, a scholar at UCD, maintains the Irish Polling Indicator, which is the source of the data, reports Breaking News.
Every poll starts with a sample of respondents—usually over 1,000—and weights it to be nationally representative.
The surveys that are presently utilised to determine the polling averages are listed below, reports Breaking News.
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